Archive for category Market Update
Freddie Mac’s December U.S. Economic & Housing Market Outlook reported in June on how rising rates would affect home affordability throughout the U.S. Freddie Mac determined that the answer is “it depends”. Mostly it depends on what area of the country you live in and how quickly the home prices are rising in that area.
Freddie Mac determined that in most markets rates would have to rise to 7% before home became unaffordable to the typical family. What we do see though is rising rates affects how much home a buyer qualifies for, and as home prices and rates increase, the quality of home the typical buyer can afford will decrease.
Right now at least 50% of Utah households would qualify for mortgage loan of $248,000, which with 5% down on a Conventional loan would equate to roughly a $261,000 purchase price.
If interest rates rise 0.5% the purchase price drops to $247,000. If they rise a full percent above the current level home purchase power drops to $236,0000.
The good news is that right now this still puts most homes in Salt Lake County within the budget of 50% of Utah households. I think what we are going to see if rates continue to rise is a stabilizing of home prices, or at least not the double-digit gains of the past couple of years. With affordability going down, offering prices will be lower and thus home values in general will not continue to increase at their current rate.
Salt Lake City and Provo have been added to the Improving Housing Markets (IHM) list maintained by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). Since December the list has added 57 metro areas around the U.S., signaling at least a stabilization, if not a recovery, of the housing market in America.
Building permits for the Salt Lake City metropolitan area have increased 2.3% since it’s lowest point in March 2009, home prices are up 0.4% from it’s lowest point in March 2011 and employment is up 3.6% since February 2010.
Building Permits for the Provo metropolitan area are up 2.7% from it’s low in February 2009, home prices are up 1.1% since March 2011 and employment is up 4.6% since December 2009.
The Improving Housing Markets list identifies metropolitan areas that have shown improvements in employment, housing permits and home prices for at least six consecutive months. To measure market performance, the National Association of Builders gathers information from Freddie Mac, U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
According to the Utah Realtors Association some areas in Utah are seeing home values increase. Here are the gainers in the third quarter 2011 report. Increase are compared to the same period in 2010:
|Salt Lake City||84103||+19.1%|
|Salt Lake City||84105||+1.4%|
|Salt Lake City||84108||+1.5%|
|Salt Lake City||84115||+7.7%|
Hopefully your home is in one of these zip codes.
Medallion Mortgage Company
448 E 6400 S, Suite 100
Murray, UT 84107